Week 11 of the NFL season is here, the fall is in bloom, and pretty soon, all the leaves will be off the trees, and winter will arrive.
Last week was one of our best of the season, as we smashed all but one of our props, going 3-5 and adding 6.9 units of profit to our stable of 9.46 season-long units of profit, giving us a clean 16.36 units of profit.
On the year, our record is 22-28, so we are consistently taking long shot stabs.
That doesn’t stop this week with our Week 11 NFL player props and picks.
Week 11 NFL player props and picks
Jaylen Warren over 38.5 rushing yards -112 (BetRivers) | 100+ rushing yards +1500 (Bet365)
If you aren’t using Bet365 on a day like this, you are missing out on tremendous value.
Warren is 15/1 to rush for 100 yards, the emerging Steelers back, who ran for 101 yards just last week.
He may be the backup technically, but his snap counts are rising.
The two backs went to exact 50/50 status for the first time all year (33 snaps each between Warren and Najee Harris).
Warren is averaging 5.1 yards per carry, while Harris averages just 4.0.
He’s the better back and is an excellent bet at 15/1 on Bet365 Sportsbook.
If you don’t have access to it, grab over 38.5 rushing yards at BetRivers (-112).
Jaylen Waddle over 4.5 receptions (-135, BetMGM)
We haven’t heard from the other Jaylen Waddle, in quite some time.
But this should be a week to get right this weekend in a smash spot as 13.5-point favorites vs. the Raiders.
Waddle has at least six targets in every game since Oct. 1 including 12 targets against the Patriots.
The Raiders defense was flying high against two bad offenses in New York, but that stops now.
Welcome to the Miami Show.
Betting on the NFL?
Kyler Murray anytime touchdown scorer +240 | 40+ rushing yards (+120, FanDuel)
Kyler Murray is so back, and the Cardinals look quite formidable.
They face a Texans defense that is ripe for the pickings.
Stroud and the Texans have been in some insane shootouts of late, and Murray looked excellent, leading the Cardinals to a come-from-behind victory over the Falcons.
Murray rushed for 33 and a touchdown last week and should be a very solid bet at this number of +240 to do so again this week.
Get your popcorn ready, this is going to be a fun one.
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