The Cincinnati Bengals travel to Baltimore Thursday night to face the Ravens in an AFC North divisional battle.
Both teams are coming off tough losses and will look to get their seasons back on track by handing a division rival a second consecutive loss.
The Ravens (7-3) won the first matchup in Week 2, and another victory here would give them a leg up in any divisional tiebreaker scenario.
The Bengals (5-4) have a must-win game on their hands if they want any chance of repeating as AFC North champions.
With so much on the line for both teams, expect player performance to be top-notch. Here are four DFS best bets we found on PrizePicks for tonight’s game:
Ja’Marr Chase more than 80.5 receiving yards
Chase has dominated targets this season for the Bengals (27.8%), and now No. 2 wide receiver Tee Higgins has been ruled out with a hamstring injury.
Higgins ranks second on the team with a 19% target share, and Chase is the top candidate to pick up a larger workload in this scenario.
In the first game Higgins missed due to injury (Week 5 vs. Arizona), Chase had a ridiculous 19 targets and converted them into 15 receptions for 192 yards and three touchdowns.
Last week (without Higgins again), Chase popped off for 124 yards on just six targets, as he was limited with an injury of his own.
Now another week removed from the back injury and completely off the injury report, Chase could be in line for a similar workload to what we saw in the Cardinals game.
Baltimore, which has allowed the seventh-fewest passing yards per game this season, limited Chase to 31 yards on eight receptions in Week 2, but Joe Burrow was still hampered by a calf injury and Chase’s numbers early in the season suffered because of it.
Chase has soared over this projection in both games without Higgins this season. He has a great chance to do that again now that he is presumably back to full health.
Lamar Jackson more than 44.5 rushing yards
Jackson remains one of the top rushing quarterbacks in the NFL, and has been for some time. Now he gets a matchup with the Bengals, who have allowed the third-most rushing yards per game this season.
Jackson fell just short of this projection last week against Cleveland, finishing with 41 rushing yards, but he has topped 44.5 rushing yards in five of his other nine games this season, including in Week 2 at Cincinnati (12 carries for 54 yards).
Look for him to get designed runs, in addition to always being willing to tuck and run on a scramble if his receivers are covered downfield.
Mark Andrews more than 57.5 receiving yards
Among tight ends, Andrews ranks third in the league with a 22.1% target share. He is second on the Ravens in target share behind only Zay Flowers.
Andrews has recorded more than 57.5 receiving yards in five of the nine games he has played, and he has averaged 57.9 yards per contest this season.
The Bengals have allowed the third-most receiving yards to the tight end position this season, making this number even more reachable.
Expect Andrews to be heavily involved in the game plan tonight in an exploitable matchup.
Rashod Bateman fewer than 2.5 receptions
The Ravens had huge expectations for Bateman when they selected him 27th overall in the 2021 draft. Unfortunately, injuries and lack of production have derailed the once promising wide receiver prospect.
He owns just a 10.9% target share on the season and he has topped 2.5 receptions in only three of the nine games he has played this season.
Bateman is running a route on only 49.1% of his team’s dropbacks. That route participation ranks well behind Flowers, Andrews and Odell Beckham Jr., and is only slightly ahead of Nelson Agholor.
Bateman will have a difficult time posting at least three receptions given his lack of playing time and modest ability to earn targets in Baltimore’s offense.
Source
